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Climate Change

Climate change is a significant and lasting change in the statistical distribution of weather patterns over periods ranging from decades to millions of years. It may be a change in average weather conditions or the distribution of events around that average (e.g., more or fewer extreme weather events). Climate change may be limited to a specific region or may occur across the whole Earth.

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Swedish botanist Carolus Linnaeus releas
Swedish botanist Carolus Linnaeus releases the first publication of the book Systema Naturae provide...

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Level of CO2 in the atmosphere is about
Level of CO2 in the atmosphere is about 290ppm

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First Industrial Revolution
First Industrial Revolution

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German naturalist and explorer Friedrich
German naturalist and explorer Friedrich Wilhelm Heinrich Alexander Freiherr von Humboldt publishes ...

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Mean global temperature is about 13.6ᄚ
Mean global temperature is about 13.6ᄚC

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Fourier calculates that the Earth would
Fourier calculates that the Earth would be far colder if it lacked an atmosphere

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Chamberlin produces a model for global c
Chamberlin produces a model for global carbon exchange including feedbacks

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Tyndall discovers that some gases block
Tyndall discovers that some gases block infrared radiation

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Arrhenius publishes first calculation of
Arrhenius publishes first calculation of global warming from human emissions of CO2

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Second Industrial Revolution. Fertilizer
Second Industrial Revolution. Fertilizers and other chemicals, electricity, and public health furthe

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World War I
World War I

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Opening of Texas and Persian Gulf oil fi
Opening of Texas and Persian Gulf oil fields inaugurates era of cheap energy.

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Global warming trend since late 19th cen
Global warming trend since late 19th century reported

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Milankovitch proposes orbital changes as
Milankovitch proposes orbital changes as the cause of ice ages

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Callendar argues that CO2 greenhouse glo
Callendar argues that CO2 greenhouse global warming is underway

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World War II
World War II

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US Office of Naval Research begins gener
US Office of Naval Research begins generous funding of many fields of science

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Ewing and Donn offer a feedback model fo
Ewing and Donn offer a feedback model for quick ice age onset

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Phillips produces a realistic computer m
Phillips produces a realistic computer model of atmosphere

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Plass calculates that adding CO2 to the
Plass calculates that adding CO2 to the atmosphere will have a significant effect on the radiation b

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Launch of Soviet Sputnik satellite. Cold
Launch of Soviet Sputnik satellite. Cold War concerns support 1957-58 International Geophysical Year

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Revelle finds that CO2 produced by human
Revelle finds that CO2 produced by humans will not be readily absorbed by the oceans

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Telescope studies show a greenhouse effe
Telescope studies show a greenhouse effect raises temperature of the atmosphere of Venus far above t

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Mitchell reports downturn of global temp
Mitchell reports downturn of global temperatures since the early 1940s

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Keeling accurately measures CO2 in the E
Keeling accurately measures CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere and detects an annual rise. Current level

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Cuban Missile Crisis
Cuban Missile Crisis

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Human population growth rate peaks at 2.
Human population growth rate peaks at 2.2% per year in 1963. uh orijrwoiuf hwforhf rh riouf hwofu hw...

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Calculations suggest that feedback with
Calculations suggest that feedback with water vapor could make the climate acutely sensitive to chan

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Boulder, Colo. meeting on causes of clim
Boulder, Colo. meeting on causes of climate change

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Emiliani's analysis of deep-sea cores an
Emiliani's analysis of deep-sea cores and Broecker's analysis of ancient corals

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International Global Atmospheric Researc
International Global Atmospheric Research Program established

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Manabe and Wetherald make a convincing c
Manabe and Wetherald make a convincing calculation

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Studies suggest a possibility of collaps
Studies suggest a possibility of collapse of Antarctic ice sheets

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Astronauts walk on the Moon
Astronauts walk on the Moon

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Budyko and Sellers present models of cat
Budyko and Sellers present models of catastrophic ice-albedo

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Nimbus III satellite provides atmospheri
Nimbus III satellite provides atmospheric data

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First Earth Day
First Earth Day

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Creation of US National Oceanic and Atmo
Creation of US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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Aerosols from human activity are shown t
Aerosols from human activity are shown to be increasing swiftly

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SMIC conference
SMIC conference

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Mariner 9 spacecraft finds dust storm on
Mariner 9 spacecraft finds dust storm on Mars

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Ice cores and other evidence show big cl
Ice cores and other evidence show big climate shifts in past

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Droughts in Africa, Ukraine, India
Droughts in Africa, Ukraine, India

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Oil embargo
Oil embargo

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Serious droughts since 1972
Serious droughts since 1972

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Warnings about environmental effects of
Warnings about environmental effects of airplanes

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Manabe and collaborators produce complex
Manabe and collaborators produce complex computer models

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Studies show CFCs, methane and ozone eff
Studies show CFCs, methane and ozone effects

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Deep-sea cores show dominating influence
Deep-sea cores show dominating influence from 100,000-year orbital changes

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Deforestation and other ecosystem change
Deforestation and other ecosystem changes are recognised by the WHO

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Eddy shows that there were prolonged per
Eddy shows that there were prolonged periods without sunspots

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Scientific opinion tends to converge on
Scientific opinion tends to converge on global warming, not cooling

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Inadequate National Climate Program Act
Inadequate National Climate Program Act

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Second oil 'energy crisis'
Second oil 'energy crisis'

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US National Academy of Sciences report
US National Academy of Sciences report

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World Climate Research Programme launche
World Climate Research Programme launched

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Election of Reagan brings backlash again
Election of Reagan brings backlash against environmental movement to power

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IBM Personal Computer introduced
IBM Personal Computer introduced

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Hansen and others show that sulfate aero
Hansen and others show that sulfate aerosols can significantly cool the climate

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Some scientists predict greenhouse warmi
Some scientists predict greenhouse warming 'signal' by year 2000

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Greenland ice cores reveal temperature o
Greenland ice cores reveal temperature oscillations from past

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Strong global warming since mid-1970s is
Strong global warming since mid-1970s is reported, with 1981 the warmest year on record. =>Modern te

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Reports from US National Academy of Scie
Reports from US National Academy of Sciences and Environmental Protection Agency spark conflict, as

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Ramanathan and collaborators announce th
Ramanathan and collaborators announce that global warming may come twice as fast as expected, from r

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Villach Conference declares consensus am
Villach Conference declares consensus among experts that some global warming seems inevitable, calls

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Antarctic ice cores show that CO2 and te
Antarctic ice cores show that CO2 and temperature went up and down together through past ice ages, p

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Broecker speculates that a reorganizatio
Broecker speculates that a reorganization of North Atlantic Ocean circulation can bring swift and ra

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Montreal Protocol of the Vienna Conventi
Montreal Protocol of the Vienna Convention imposes international restrictions

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News media coverage of global warming le
News media coverage of global warming leaps upward

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Toronto conference calls for strict, spe
Toronto conference calls for strict, specific limits on greenhouse gas emissions

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Ice-core and biology studies confirm liv
Ice-core and biology studies confirm living ecosystems

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Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Chang
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) established

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Fossil-fuel and other U.S. industries fo
Fossil-fuel and other U.S. industries form Global Climate Coalition

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First IPCC report
First IPCC report

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Hansen predicts cooling pattern, verifyi
Hansen predicts cooling pattern, verifying computer models of aerosol effects

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Global warming skeptics claim that 20th-
Global warming skeptics claim that 20th-century temperature changes followed from solar influences.

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Studies from 55 million years ago show p
Studies from 55 million years ago show possibility of eruption of methane from the seabed with enorm

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Conference in Rio de Janeiro produces UN
Conference in Rio de Janeiro produces UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, but US blocks calls

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Study of ancient climates reveals climat
Study of ancient climates reveals climate sensitivity in same range as predicted independently by co

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Greenland ice cores suggest that great c
Greenland ice cores suggest that great climate changes (at least on a regional scale) can occur in t

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Second IPCC report detects 'signature' o
Second IPCC report detects 'signature' of human-caused greenhouse effect warming, declares that seri

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Reports of the breaking up of Antarctic
Reports of the breaking up of Antarctic ice shelves and other signs of actual current warming in pol

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Toyota introduces Prius in Japan, first
Toyota introduces Prius in Japan, first mass-market electric hybrid car; swift progress in large win

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International conference produces Kyoto
International conference produces Kyoto Protocol, setting targets for industrialized nations to redu

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Super El Ni�o causes weather disasters
Super El Ni�o causes weather disasters and warmest year on record (approximately matched by 2005 a...

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Qualms about arbitrariness in computer m
Qualms about arbitrariness in computer models diminish as teams model ice-age climate and dispense w

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Criticism that satellite measurements sh
Criticism that satellite measurements show no warming are dismissed by National Academy Panel. =>Mod

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Ramanathan detects massive 'brown cloud'
Ramanathan detects massive 'brown cloud' of aerosols from South Asia. =>Aerosols

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Global Climate Coalition dissolves as ma
Global Climate Coalition dissolves as many corporations grapple with threat of warming, but oil lobb

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Variety of studies emphasize variability
Variety of studies emphasize variability and importance of biological feedbacks in carbon cycle, lia

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Third IPCC report states baldly that glo
Third IPCC report states baldly that global warming, unprecedented since end of last ice age, is 've

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Bonn meeting, with participation of most
Bonn meeting, with participation of most countries but not US, develops mechanisms for working towar

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National Academy panel sees a 'paradigm
National Academy panel sees a 'paradigm shift' in scientific recognition of the risk of abrupt clima

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Warming observed in ocean basins; match
Warming observed in ocean basins; match with computer models gives a clear signature of greenhouse e

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Studies find surprisingly strong 'global
Studies find surprisingly strong 'global dimming,' due to pollution, has retarded arrival of greenho

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Numerous observations raise concern that
Numerous observations raise concern that collapse of ice sheets (West Antarctica, Greenland) can rai

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Deadly summer heat wave in Europe accele
Deadly summer heat wave in Europe accelerates divergence between European and US public opinion. =>P

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First major books, movie and art work fe
First major books, movie and art work featuring global warming appear. =>Public opinion

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Kyoto treaty goes into effect, signed by
Kyoto treaty goes into effect, signed by major industrial nations except US. Work to retard emission

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Hurricane Katrina and other major tropic
Hurricane Katrina and other major tropical storms spur debate over impact of global warming on storm

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In longstanding 'hockey stick' controver
In longstanding 'hockey stick' controversy, scientists conclude post-1980 global warming was unprece

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An Inconvenient Truth documentary persua
An Inconvenient Truth documentary persuades many but sharpens political polarization.

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Fourth IPCC report warns that serious ef
Fourth IPCC report warns that serious effects of warming have become evident; cost of reducing emiss

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Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets and A
Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets and Arctic Ocean sea-ice cover found to be shrinking faster than

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Many experts warn that global warming is
Many experts warn that global warming is arriving at a faster and more dangerous pace than anticipat

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Excerpts from stolen e-mails of climate
Excerpts from stolen e-mails of climate scientists fuel public skepticism.

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Copenhagen conference fails to negotiate
Copenhagen conference fails to negotiate binding agreements: end of hopes of avoiding dangerous futu

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Level of CO2 in the atmosphere reaches 3
Level of CO2 in the atmosphere reaches 385 ppm.

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Mean global temperature (five-year avera
Mean global temperature (five-year average) is 14.5ᄚC, the warmest in hundreds, and probably thous...

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Events Contributing to the Maturation of Climate Change


Date Event Phase (Imp.) Vote Twitter Facebook
Jan 1735 Swedish botanist Carolus Linnaeus releases the first publication of the book Systema Naturae providi Challenge (9) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1800 Level of CO2 in the atmosphere is about 290ppm Observation (7) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1824 First Industrial Revolution Observation (6) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1845 German naturalist and explorer Friedrich Wilhelm Heinrich Alexander Freiherr von Humboldt publishes Challenge (8) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1850 Mean global temperature is about 13.6ᄚC Observation (1) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1859 Fourier calculates that the Earth would be far colder if it lacked an atmosphere Observation (7) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1870 Chamberlin produces a model for global carbon exchange including feedbacks Observation (2) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1896 Tyndall discovers that some gases block infrared radiation Observation (5) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1897 Arrhenius publishes first calculation of global warming from human emissions of CO2 Observation (1) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1900 Second Industrial Revolution. Fertilizers and other chemicals, electricity, and public health furthe Observation (5) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1914 World War I Observation (8) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1920 Opening of Texas and Persian Gulf oil fields inaugurates era of cheap energy. Observation (6) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1930 Global warming trend since late 19th century reported Observation (4) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1938 Milankovitch proposes orbital changes as the cause of ice ages Observation (3) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1939 Callendar argues that CO2 greenhouse global warming is underway Observation (2) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1945 World War II Observation (7) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1945 US Office of Naval Research begins generous funding of many fields of science Emergence (7) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1956 Phillips produces a realistic computer model of atmosphere Emergence (1) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1956 Ewing and Donn offer a feedback model for quick ice age onset Emergence (6) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1956 Plass calculates that adding CO2 to the atmosphere will have a significant effect on the radiation b Emergence (3) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1957 Launch of Soviet Sputnik satellite. Cold War concerns support 1957-58 International Geophysical Year Emergence (5) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1957 Revelle finds that CO2 produced by humans will not be readily absorbed by the oceans Emergence (4) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1958 Telescope studies show a greenhouse effect raises temperature of the atmosphere of Venus far above t Emergence (10) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1960 Mitchell reports downturn of global temperatures since the early 1940s Emergence (9) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1960 Keeling accurately measures CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere and detects an annual rise. Current level Emergence (4) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis Emergence (1) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1963 Calculations suggest that feedback with water vapor could make the climate acutely sensitive to chan Emergence (1) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1963 Human population growth rate peaks at 2.2% per year in 1963. Emergence (10) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1965 Boulder, Colo. meeting on causes of climate change Emergence (9) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1966 Emiliani's analysis of deep-sea cores and Broecker's analysis of ancient corals Emergence (6) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1967 International Global Atmospheric Research Program established Emergence (8) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1967 Manabe and Wetherald make a convincing calculation Emergence (9) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1968 Studies suggest a possibility of collapse of Antarctic ice sheets Popularisation (2) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1969 Nimbus III satellite provides atmospheric data Popularisation (2) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1969 Astronauts walk on the Moon Popularisation (9) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1969 Budyko and Sellers present models of catastrophic ice-albedo Popularisation (5) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1970 First Earth Day Popularisation (3) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1970 Creation of US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Popularisation (4) Vote
Tweet
Mar 1970 Aerosols from human activity are shown to be increasing swiftly Popularisation (3) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1971 SMIC conference Popularisation (2) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1971 Mariner 9 spacecraft finds dust storm on Mars Popularisation (5) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1972 Ice cores and other evidence show big climate shifts in past Popularisation (4) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1972 Droughts in Africa, Ukraine, India Popularisation (3) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1973 Oil embargo Popularisation (9) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1974 Serious droughts since 1972 Popularisation (8) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1975 Warnings about environmental effects of airplanes Popularisation (9) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1975 Manabe and collaborators produce complex computer models Popularisation (3) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1976 Studies show CFCs, methane and ozone effects Popularisation (2) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1976 Deep-sea cores show dominating influence from 100,000-year orbital changes Popularisation (6) Vote
Tweet
Mar 1976 Deforestation and other ecosystem changes are recognized Popularisation (4) Vote
Tweet
Apr 1976 Eddy shows that there were prolonged periods without sunspots Popularisation (3) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1977 Scientific opinion tends to converge on global warming, not cooling Popularisation (5) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1978 Inadequate National Climate Program Act Popularisation (6) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1979 Second oil 'energy crisis' Popularisation (8) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1979 US National Academy of Sciences report Popularisation (2) Vote
Tweet
Mar 1979 World Climate Research Programme launched Popularisation (8) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1981 Election of Reagan brings backlash against environmental movement to power Popularisation (6) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1981 IBM Personal Computer introduced Popularisation (7) Vote
Tweet
Mar 1981 Hansen and others show that sulfate aerosols can significantly cool the climate Popularisation (6) Vote
Tweet
Apr 1981 Some scientists predict greenhouse warming 'signal' by year 2000 Popularisation (8) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1982 Greenland ice cores reveal temperature oscillations from past Challenge (6) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1982 Strong global warming since mid-1970s is reported, with 1981 the warmest year on record. =>Modern te Challenge (8) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1983 Reports from US National Academy of Sciences and Environmental Protection Agency spark conflict, as Challenge (9) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1985 Ramanathan and collaborators announce that global warming may come twice as fast as expected, from r Challenge (2) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1985 Villach Conference declares consensus among experts that some global warming seems inevitable, calls Challenge (10) Vote
Tweet
Mar 1985 Antarctic ice cores show that CO2 and temperature went up and down together through past ice ages, p Challenge (3) Vote
Tweet
Apr 1985 Broecker speculates that a reorganization of North Atlantic Ocean circulation can bring swift and ra Challenge (4) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1987 Montreal Protocol of the Vienna Convention imposes international restrictions Challenge (2) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1988 News media coverage of global warming leaps upward Challenge (3) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1988 Toronto conference calls for strict, specific limits on greenhouse gas emissions Challenge (3) Vote
Tweet
Mar 1988 Ice-core and biology studies confirm living ecosystems Challenge (9) Vote
Tweet
Apr 1988 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) established Challenge (7) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1989 Fossil-fuel and other U.S. industries form Global Climate Coalition Challenge (4) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1990 First IPCC report Challenge (2) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1991 Hansen predicts cooling pattern, verifying computer models of aerosol effects Challenge (2) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1991 Global warming skeptics claim that 20th-century temperature changes followed from solar influences. Challenge (5) Vote
Tweet
Mar 1991 Studies from 55 million years ago show possibility of eruption of methane from the seabed with enorm Challenge (4) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1992 Conference in Rio de Janeiro produces UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, but US blocks calls Challenge (5) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1992 Study of ancient climates reveals climate sensitivity in same range as predicted independently by co Challenge (5) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1993 Greenland ice cores suggest that great climate changes (at least on a regional scale) can occur in t Challenge (8) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1995 Second IPCC report detects 'signature' of human-caused greenhouse effect warming, declares that seri Challenge (10) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1995 Reports of the breaking up of Antarctic ice shelves and other signs of actual current warming in pol Challenge (1) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1997 Toyota introduces Prius in Japan, first mass-market electric hybrid car; swift progress in large win Challenge (4) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1997 International conference produces Kyoto Protocol, setting targets for industrialized nations to redu Challenge (5) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1998 Super El Ni�o causes weather disasters and warmest year on record (approximately matched by 2005 and Challenge (10) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1998 Qualms about arbitrariness in computer models diminish as teams model ice-age climate and dispense w Challenge (5) Vote
Tweet
Jan 1999 Criticism that satellite measurements show no warming are dismissed by National Academy Panel. =>Mod Challenge (5) Vote
Tweet
Feb 1999 Ramanathan detects massive 'brown cloud' of aerosols from South Asia. =>Aerosols Challenge (3) Vote
Tweet
Jan 2000 Global Climate Coalition dissolves as many corporations grapple with threat of warming, but oil lobb Challenge (2) Vote
Tweet
Feb 2000 Variety of studies emphasize variability and importance of biological feedbacks in carbon cycle, lia Governance (2) Vote
Tweet
Jan 2001 Third IPCC report states baldly that global warming, unprecedented since end of last ice age, is 've Governance (8) Vote
Tweet
Feb 2001 Bonn meeting, with participation of most countries but not US, develops mechanisms for working towar Governance (6) Vote
Tweet
Mar 2001 National Academy panel sees a 'paradigm shift' in scientific recognition of the risk of abrupt clima Governance (5) Vote
Tweet
Apr 2001 Warming observed in ocean basins; match with computer models gives a clear signature of greenhouse e Governance (5) Vote
Tweet
Jan 2002 Studies find surprisingly strong 'global dimming,' due to pollution, has retarded arrival of greenho Governance (1) Vote
Tweet
Jan 2003 Numerous observations raise concern that collapse of ice sheets (West Antarctica, Greenland) can rai Governance (10) Vote
Tweet
Feb 2003 Deadly summer heat wave in Europe accelerates divergence between European and US public opinion. =>P Governance (1) Vote
Tweet
Jan 2004 First major books, movie and art work featuring global warming appear. =>Public opinion Governance (2) Vote
Tweet
Jan 2005 Kyoto treaty goes into effect, signed by major industrial nations except US. Work to retard emission Normative (2) Vote
Tweet
Feb 2005 Hurricane Katrina and other major tropical storms spur debate over impact of global warming on storm Normative (2) Vote
Tweet
Jan 2006 In longstanding 'hockey stick' controversy, scientists conclude post-1980 global warming was unprece Normative (7) Vote
Tweet
Feb 2006 An Inconvenient Truth documentary persuades many but sharpens political polarization. Normative (10) Vote
Tweet
Jan 2007 Fourth IPCC report warns that serious effects of warming have become evident; cost of reducing emiss Normative (3) Vote
Tweet
Feb 2007 Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets and Arctic Ocean sea-ice cover found to be shrinking faster than Normative (8) Vote
Tweet
Jan 2009 Many experts warn that global warming is arriving at a faster and more dangerous pace than anticipat Normative (1) Vote
Tweet
Feb 2009 Excerpts from stolen e-mails of climate scientists fuel public skepticism. Normative (5) Vote
Tweet
Mar 2009 Copenhagen conference fails to negotiate binding agreements: end of hopes of avoiding dangerous futu Normative (10) Vote
Tweet
Apr 2009 Level of CO2 in the atmosphere reaches 385 ppm. Normative (3) Vote
Tweet
May 2009 Mean global temperature (five-year average) is 14.5ᄚC, the warmest in hundreds, and probably thousan Normative (3) Vote
Tweet